The first game I'm going to talk about is the Louisville Cardinals (+16 1/2) at the Cincinnati Bearcats. Cincy is a high scoring offense and are 4-0 ATS when favored this season. They have been pounding mediocre teams and have allowed 14 points or less in 4 of 5 games. They are outscoring their opponents in their 4 wins 202 to 38. Louisville doesn't have an identity offensively and are banged up. One of their QBs, Will Stein is questionable, and so is their star RB Victor Anderson. The Bearcats are also plus 12 on the turnover margin. This game will not be close at all. Cincy wins big 45-10. Bet 7 units.
Let's keep this train rolling with Georgia Tech (-7 1/2) at Virginia. If you haven't watched GT, you need to see how this team rolls. They control games with their Triple Option offense and no one can stop it. They score big and control the clock. Their offense is efficient and they don't turn the ball over much. It will be hard for Virginia to keep up even though GT defense isn't the best. I'll be wagering 3 units. GT wins 38-27.
Tennessee is a 18 point underdog at home to the 6-0 LSU Tigers. I LOVE this game for the Tigers who have held opponents to an average of under 9 points a game in their last 5 games and always win the turnover battle. Tennessee just came off a disappointing lose at home to Georgia and will get desperate against a defense that makes even good teams (Florida) look like they are a high school team. LSU will win huge. 44-10. Bet 10 Units.
Game four of this sizzling Saturday is South Florida (-7 1/2) at Connecticut. South Florida is coming off a beat down from Pittsburgh and a week off to study up and rest. They will come out and put it to UCONN who is 1-4 ATS their last 5 games. South Florida's running game is one of the best in the country and I expect them to rush all over UCONN to not only control the clock but to win by 2 or more scores. South Florida wins 41-21. Bet 5 Units.
There are games every now and again I want to put my whole bankroll on. This is one of them. BYU is (+3) at Oregon State. Whenever you get a better team being an underdog, you always take the points. This is what you have here, and I will be betting 10 units on this one. State's best player and starting RB is questionable with a hamstring injury and they just aren't very good. They don't do any one thing good and only beat a depleted Arizona team who fired their Head Coach. Oregon State might keep it close because BYU does turn the ball over, but they will win 24-17.
The last game I like in college football is Clemson (-9) at Maryland. Clemson has way too many play makers for a Maryland team that has giving up 37 and 38 to worse teams at home. Maryland is also beat up on offense at skill positions and the offensive line. Sammy Watkins and Boyd for Clemson will dominate this game as they are one of the best passing/catching tandems in the nation. Clemson is also 4-0 in their last 4 games against the spread and that was facing a lot tougher teams than Maryland. I also like the under in the game. Clemson wins 37-14. Bet 5 units ATS and 3 for the under.
Now onto the Sunday NFL games. Sometimes when betting you just have to go with your gut, ESP if you are on a winning streak. With that being said, I love the Eagles this week (-2) at the Redskins. No real reasons beside the fact I think the Eagles are a substantially better team. Now let's cross our fingers, and hope they don't blow another lead. Eagles win 31-24, bet 5 units.
The other game I like in the NFL is the Browns (+7) at the Raiders. The Browns are coming off a bye week, and have Hillis back healthy. The Raiders are giving up over 400 yards a game! They can run the ball sure, but they can't stop anybody from throwing or running. Mark Sanchez and Matt Schaub (without Andre Johnson) passed for over 350 yards a piece against this weak Oakland secondary. McCoy hasn't been spectacular but is averaging around 240 passing yards and 1.5 TDs per game. I expect Oakland to win but Cleveland to cover 27-24. Bet 3 units.
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