I am going to start with my NFL picks this week as I have three of them. My first pick is the Atlanta Falcons (-7 1/2) at the Indianapolis Colts. I'm taking the Falcons in this one (and buying the half a point) and am very confident about it. Falcons are coming off a bye week which they needed to get star Rookie receiver Julio Jones back. Their running game is improving and to be honest doesn't need to be that great against the Colts who are 2nd to last in the league in stopping the run. Plus, it is almost like the Colts really are in the "suck for luck" sweepstakes. They are competing with the 0-8 Dolphins but, the Dolphins have came out and said they are still trying, I really haven't heard that from the Colts. I don't think anyone wants to lose but if the Falcons have any kind of lead after halftime, you watch the Colts give up. They did against the Saints and in their last three games have went 3 and out or turned the ball over 22 of 35 (62%) times. I'm putting 1 Unit on this game. Atlanta wins 31-21.
PICK OF THE WEEK
Cincinnati Bengals (+3) at the Tennessee Titans. I'm taking the Bengals in this game and am ALL IN on it. I've said it before and will say it again, when the better team is given points you take the spread all day everyday. The Bengals are 4th in the league in total yards defense and 2nd in rush defense. The Titans are LAST in the league in rushing and Chris Johnson has shown no signs of being the same CJ2K he used to be. He is only averaging 2.8 yards a carry on 107 attempts. Titans receivers (beside Washington) are terrible. Kenny Britt is still 2nd on the team in receiving and he has been out since week 4! I want to take this game straight up but, will be playing it safe this week as the Titans are 3-1 at home. I'm putting 10 units on this game. Cincinnati wins 24-23.
Game three of my NFL picks is San Fransisco 49ers (-4) at the Washington Redskins. I'll be taking the 49ers in this one. Washington is hurting at RB and WR and don't have consistent QB play. San Fran has the best rush defense in the league which will make the Skins' throw the ball. Washington's average margin of loss in their last 3 games (all losses) is over 13 points a game. San Fran's average margin of victory (beside the TB blowout) is right over 7 points a game and have only won by less than 4 points one time. With this being said, if you think the 49ers will win and numbers don't lie, bet the Niners. I'll be putting 3 units on this game. San Fran wins 30-10.
My one and only NCAA pick this week is the Louisville Cardinals (+14) over the West Virginia Mountaineers. I'm taking the Cardinals, I bet against them a few weeks ago and picked WV a couple weeks ago and lost both games. I have watched both of these teams a lot lately and the tides of changed. The Cardinals defense is one the best in the nation. They are getting better every week on both sides of the ball. Last week Bridgewater (Cardinals QB) threw for 2 tds and RB Victor Anderson had a good game as well against a Syracuse team who KILLED West Virginia. Also, in the past 6 meetings between these two, no score has ever been decided by more than 14 points. I really like the Cardinals in this one, however, predicting the weather might be easier than predicting the Big East. I'll be betting 5 units. Cardinals win 21-20.
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